Saturday, January 05, 2008

A Small Critique on "The Vanishing Middle Class"

I am a little over 1/3 of the way through Ending Poverty In America. One of the chapters was on "The Vanishing Middle Class" by Elizabeth Warren. It was an interesting article. For instance, she cites that
When asked in an open-ended question to identify their class membership, more than 91.6% of the adult population of the United States volunteer an identification with "working" or "middle" class.
That's a pretty strong identification with being in the middle class. She then rather succinctly and clearly states the facts of the matter,

In a single generation the family had picked up a second earner, but it had spent every dollar of that second paycheck. Worse yet, it had also spent the money it once saved, and it had borrowed more besides. By the most obvious financial measures the middle-class American family has sunk financially.
She then critiques and criticizes the standard explanation of overconsumption as the reason for this. Again she makes some helpful and insightful points, but I would argue with her on a couple items.

For instance, in explaining where the money actually goes, she cites the increase in fixed costs, the first being for housing. Now, I would agree with anyone who says that the cost of housing has increased dramatically. But she has an odd way of trying to explain that we are living in virtually the same homes that we did a generation ago, citing that the median home today has 6.1 rooms versus 5.8 rooms in the earlier period. The number of rooms is not a very helpful measure though, and in my opinion it is a somewhat misleading statistic in two ways. First, I believe the size of families has shrunk over the last generation so we should need fewer rooms not more. And secondly, the size of those rooms has increased dramatically.
The square footage of new homes increased by 39 percent between 1971 and 1996 to include family rooms, home entertainment rooms, home offices, bedrooms and often a bathroom for each family member. (Source: D'tente in the Housework Wars, Toronto Star, 1999) as cited in Nickel and Dimed: On (Not) Getting By In America by Barbara Ehrenrich.

This is important to recognize because it reveals one possible solution is to to put greater pressure on local zoning and housing authorities to require more construction of affordable as opposed to luxury housing. Anecdotally, nearly all of the new housing construction I see in this area, especially near work, is for luxury homes. That doesn't help me any.

The second fixed costs she cites is healthcare, and I don't argue with her on that, but the third fixed cost she cites is transportation, namely automobiles. Again she misses an important aspect of our overconsumption. The average new car lasts for a life of 10.2 years and mileage of 120,000, but the average trade-in occurs after just 4 years and 50,000 miles (source: Good Sense Budget Course). Repeating the purchase of a new car at these intervals over a lifetime can literally add up to hundreds of thousands of dollars.

I wish on her solutions segment she had talked more about financial literacy and education. She makes good points regarding the explosion in credit marketing, but there is so much more to it than that. In my opinion, no one should be able to graduate high school or college without a basic course on personal finances. Everyone needs to know how credit cards work, how to create a budget, what a mutual fund and 401k/IRA is, etc. We are not preparing young people for informed and responsible financial management throughout their life.

I am enjoying reading the book though and would continue to recommend it to everyone.

4 comments:

Paula said...

This pleases me immensely.

Mei-Ling said...

Her findings don't seem congruous with the Treasury's Income Mobility Report:

nearly 58% of filers who were in the poorest income group in 1996 had moved into a higher income category by 2005. Nearly 25% jumped into the middle or upper-middle income groups, and 5.3% made it all the way to the highest quintile.

Of those in the second lowest income quintile, nearly 50% moved into the middle quintile or higher, and only 17% moved down. This is a stunning show of upward mobility, meaning that more than half of all lower-income Americans in 1996 had moved up the income scale in only 10 years.

Newsbusters summed up:

Every base-year income group in 1996, with the exception of the lowest quintile and by a relatively insignificant amount, made greater progress during the subsequent nine years than did their 1987 counterparts.
The median income gains during the most recent nine years studied were over double the gains seen in the nine years before that (24.2% vs. 11.1%).
The average American has made far more economic progress during the past 9 years than he or she did during the nine years before that.


It doesn't look like the middle class is vanishing, but rather the middle class of ten years ago isn't the same middle class today.

Mei-Ling said...

Question:

When she says that "in a single generation the family had picked up a second earner, but it had spent every dollar of that second paycheck" is she considering that after picking up that second earner - that maybe they had kids? I mean, they'd have to spend for child care, additional food, diapers, doctor visits, school trips, possibly tuition - or that possibly they had to support an elderly parent in long-term care? Isn't it entirely possible that spending/borrowing every additional dollar isn't for selfish reasons?

Are there chapters in this book that address the social reasons for poverty? For example, the parents of roughly half of my friends are divorced, for those that are, I know they had a tougher time of it growing up - a couple of them ended up as single parents themselves. They were lucky enough to have support of their own parents to help them raise their children.

Also, wanted to recommend Who Really Cares: The Surprising Truth about Compassionate Conservatism which may be a good companion read to "Ending Poverty in America."

David Hynes said...

Some good points. It's true, though, I see a lot of high cost housing going up, but no housing that people can live in for a decent price.

I definitely wish that I had a financial class in school- I don't know anything about how loans, credit cards, etc. work. The people who are financially successful tend to be people who know how these things work. Either that, or the people who know how they work but it is out of hindsight when they've been badly burned and forced to learn things the hard way.